New Yorkers Support Gov. Paterson's Marriage Announcement

A poll released today by Quinnipiac University revealed that a majority of New York voters (53%-40%) support Governor Paterson's announcement that NYS agencies would treat out-of-state marriages of same-sex couples as fully valid in New York.

The poll results are pretty consistent with polling that we've done on the issue for the past few years--most recently our poll (conducted by Global Strategy Group) showed that 56% of New York voters support recognizing marriages that were legally performed out of state.

What's also interesting--and important--to note from this poll is that Paterson's overall approval rating went up during the period of time that the announcement was made. This shows pretty clearly that elected officials in New York, even at the highest levels, can be openly (and strongly) in favor of marriage equality and still be popular among voters.

Poll: New Yorkers overwhelmingly support GENDA

We released a poll today (conducted by Global Strategy Group) that finds that 78 percent of registered New York voters support passing a bill that protects transgender people from discrimination in employment, housing, education and other areas of everyday life.

This is important for several reasons. First, in the five years that the Gender Expression Non-Discrimination Act (GENDA) has been around, legislators have never brought it to a floor vote in either chamber of the New York State Legislature. The most plausible reason for this is that lawmakers believe the issue to be controversial among their constituents—that, by acting to end discrimination against a marginalized group of people, they would somehow come under fire from the people who elect them to office.

This poll overwhelmingly dismisses that notion in a couple of ways. The first is the most direct: the poll states that for 88 percent of New York voters it either makes no difference in their vote or makes it more likely that they would vote for a state senator or assemblymember who voted to pass GENDA. Only nine percent said that they would actually be less likely to vote for their assemblymember/senator if that person voted to pass GENDA.

To further reinforce this, the poll found that 71 percent believed that there was already a law in place that outlawed this type of discrimination. This is a non-issue for voters and the state legislature should seriously take note of this.

Second, the political establishment in Albany often believes that a bill like GENDA has a natural base of support among voters of one party - the Democrats - more than the other - the Republicans. This means GENDA would be a one-house bill because, while Democrats may support it, the Republican-controlled Senate would not act on a bill that wouldn’t intuitively be popular with its core constituency.

This poll turns that assumption on its head. While the findings confirm that the vast majority of Democrats do support the passage of GENDA (77 percent), it also found that a clear majority of New York Republicans also favor outlawing discrimination against trans people (67 percent), further reinforcing the notion that New York Republicans are more libertarian than socially conservative and often have a “live and let live” mindset towards their fellow citizens. There is no reason, therefore, that GENDA should not be taken up and passed in both houses during this legislative session. We already know that Gov. Spitzer would sign the bill into law if it reaches his desk.

And finally, party leadership from both sides of the aisle may think that acting on this bill during an election year might do damage to some of their marginal members in parts of the state that are traditionally more conservative than New York City. Again, the findings of this poll prove that notion to be false. Support in New York City certainly is strong (80 percent), but the strongest support came from the NYC suburbs, where 82 percent of likely voters believe that discrimination based on gender expression and identity should be outlawed. Additionally—and perhaps most significantly—74 percent of upstate voters support passing GENDA.

The time for delay is over. New York lags behind the 13 states that have already passed a bill like GENDA--states like New Jersey, Iowa, Illinois and Colorado--and New York is also behind the curve when compared to the dozens of Fortune 500 firms that have enacted policies that forbid trans discrimination—including New York-based companies like Kodak in Western New York, PepsiCo in the Hudson Valley, TimeWarner and American Express downstate and Corning in the Southern Tier.

It’s time to do what the vast majority of New Yorkers believe is the right thing to do: pass GENDA in 2008.

Read the Pride Agenda press release here

See where members of the New York State Legislature stand on GENDA here

See a PDF of the poll here

A suspect poll

Siena’s poll results on gay marriage—which found that 47% of New Yorkers opposed and 43% in support—leave out some important pieces of the puzzle.

We know that 620 registered voters were polled, but we don’t know the breakdown of their demographics—a crucial element in determining the validity of the findings because it demonstrates whether or not the poll adheres to the reality of voter demographics in New York State. For example:

• The poll points out that a majority of Democrats support marriage equality. But it does not tell us how many/what percentage of the respondents were actually Democrats. If the poll is going to accurately represent New York, there needs to be 2.5 registered Democrats polled for every 1 registered Republican.

• The poll also tells us that a majority of voters under the age of 55 support marriage equality, even though the overall number of those polled oppose rather than support the law. Because we do not know how many/what percentage of the respondents are above/below 55-years old or what the breakdown is for each age group, it's hard to explain this result. So again, more questions here than answers.

The Pride Agenda’s most recent polling shows almost a flip of what Siena reports—that 53% of registered New York voters support marriage equality, while 38% are opposed. Given that we have two polls and only one provides methodology and a demographic breakdown of all respondents (see page 3), one could easily assume that the findings in the Siena poll just might not mirror the reality of NYS voter demographics.

Siena needs to provide a bit more transparency in order for these findings to be respected.